World Gaming Magazine
36 WGM #51 2017/10 wgm8.com 体育 SPORT 公布时,梅威瑟被列为1/12或1.08美元的热门,麦格雷戈 的赔率则为7/1或8美元。但后来大量投注流向麦格雷戈爆 冷胜出,赔率一度急剧变化至梅威瑟1.22美元,麦格雷戈 4.60美元。这些赔率基本上意味着,他们每交战五次,投 注者就会支持麦格雷戈胜出一次。 令人难以置信的是,尽管梅威瑟是有史以来最伟大的 拳手之一,并且是胜出这场拳赛的巨大热门,但世界各地 的博彩公司都出现相似的情形——92%的投注都押麦格雷 戈胜出。显然爱尔兰小子受到了公众的普遍青睐。 不过就大手笔的投注人而言,情况就并非如此。尽管 大部分的单笔投注都押在麦格雷戈身上,但据Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook的数据,绝大部分的资金都流向了 梅威瑟,比重高达约81%。这是因为梅威瑟的平均投注金 额是麦格雷戈的四十倍之多,其中有两人分别抛出一百万 美元,押注美国人胜出,各自进账约十八万美元。 据Westgate统计,麦格雷戈的平均投注为212美元, 而梅威瑟则高达8,036美元! 麦格雷戈的赔率如此之高——每投注100美元即可回 报约460美元,乃至很多博彩公司都坦称,这样的结果将 成为博彩史上最大的灾难之一。但这种担心并不必要。 尽管围绕这场对决的各种炒作赚足了眼球,前排座位 的票价超过十万美元,但比赛结果却完全可以预见,梅威 瑟在第十轮终结了对手。结果对梅威瑟来说无疑是好的, 麦格雷戈也赚得盆满钵满,博彩公司可以舒一口气,广播 公司亦回报颇丰,仅美国的付费电视收入就高达约七亿美 元。总而言之,金元横飞,都是赢家。 As Nick Bogdanovich from bookmaker William Hill said pre-fight, “The handle is insane … the props are all drawing fantastic action with the most popular being ‘Will McGregor get disqualified?’ A lot of people believe that McGregor will get frustrated and eventually snap and do something Tyson like.” Clearly Mayweather was worried about that scenario eventuating too, because as it turns out there was a clause in McGregor’s contract prohibiting him from elbowing or kicking the boxing great during the bout or risk losing his US$100 million payday. However, the real surprise was the flow of money. When the fight was first announced, Mayweather was listed as a 1/12 or $1.08 favorite, with McGregor at 7/1 or $8 to win. But a huge number of bets were subsequently taken on McGregor springing the upset, dramatically changing the odds at one point to $1.22 for Mayweather and $4.60 for McGregor. Those odds essentially mean that for every five times they fight, punters expect McGregor to win once. Incredibly, despite Mayweather – one of the greatest boxers of all time – being a huge favorite to win the fight, bookmakers worldwide reported a similar scenario with around 92% of all bets placed being on McGregor. Clearly the Irishman was the popular pick amongst the general public.
Made with FlippingBook
RkJQdWJsaXNoZXIy OTIyNjk=