World Gaming Magazine

19 WGM #52 2017/11 wgm8.com 有 些人会说，不管黑猫白猫，抓到老鼠就是好猫。 你甚至可以说，赢了任何一个赔率8/1的赌注，都 值得拍手叫好！听起来似乎不无道理。如果直觉 告诉你，下手牌会开出和局而且足够走运，那么“跟着感 觉走”会让你回报颇丰。押和赔率高的事实，的确是个很 大的诱惑。 但我们再从数学角度来分析一下。每位有经验的玩家 都知道，百家乐游戏中的押庄和押闲是娱乐场中最好的两 个赌注。也就是说，相对于大多数其他赌桌游戏而言，机 率会偏向于你。 押庄的赔率比押闲略好，在45.84%的情况下玩家会胜 出，娱乐场收益率仅为1.06%；而押闲的数字分别为44.62% 和1.23%。 那么押和的价值如何呢？当然不如押庄和押闲。实际 上即便赔率为9/1，从数学角度来看，押庄和押闲仍是更 好的选择。 S ome would argue that any winning bet is a good one. You could go further and say that any winning bet paying 8 to 1 is spectacular! This is not a silly premise. If intuition tells you the next hand will be a tie and you get lucky, that’s a great reward for following your instincts. The fact that winning tie bets are paid at 8 to 1 is exactly why they seem so attractive. But it is also worth looking at the tie bet from a mathematical perspective. Every experienced gambler knows that baccarat’s banker and player bets are two of the best bets in the casino. This means the odds are stacked in your favor compared to most other table games. Banker is actually a slightly better bet than player, winning 45.84% of hands and allowing a tiny 1.06% house edge compared to player’s 44.62% win percentage and 1.23% house edge. So does the tie bet offer similarly good value? Unfortunately not. In fact, even if you were to get odds of 9 to 1 you would still be better off mathematically putting your money on banker or player instead. 文本思齐 By Ben Blaschke