World Gaming Magazine

25 WGM #54 2018/01 wgm8.com 第五张牌 假设没有天牌，也不是四张牌成局的情况（双方都拿 到6或7），那么一定会有第五张牌派出（也许还有第六张 牌）。这里的数学就变得复杂了，因此我们最好只列出每 把闲家牌输赢机率的概要： The fifth card Let’s say there were no naturals and it wasn’t a 6s and 7s-only hand of just four cards. Now you know for certain there will be a fifth card (and maybe a sixth card) drawn. The maths starts to get really complicated here so the best thing to do is just show a summary of the chances of each player hand winning or losing: Of course these are the chances of the player winning from each starting player hand from 7 down to 0, given that a fifth card will be drawn and against a random banker hand. It would be too complicated to show each player hand against each banker hand but this definitely gives you a good start. It’s interesting to note that you are never completely dead. Even with a player hand of 0 against the banker’s 7 (the worst possible situation outside of naturals), the player has a 15.4% chance of winning and a 7.7% chance of a tie, which is a 23.1% chance of getting out of jail. Not too bad! 当然这些是在会有第五张牌派出的情况下，每种起手 牌（从7到0）对阵任意庄家牌，闲家赢的机率。要显示出 每手闲家牌对抗每手庄家牌过于复杂，但这绝对是个好的 开始。 有趣的是，你从来不会完全没救，即便是闲家拿到0 对抗庄家的7（天牌之外最坏的情况），闲家仍有15.4%的 机会赢，以及7.7%的机会出现和局，也就是说，逃脱的机 会是23.1%。不算太糟！ 闲家拿到 Player has 闲赢 Player wins 和局 Tie 庄赢 Banker wins 总和 Total 7 70.63% 17.57% 11.79% 100.00% 6 53.06% 17.57% 29.37% 100.00% 5 44.23% 12.78% 42.99% 100.00% 4 39.83% 12.09% 48.08% 100.00% 3 37.50% 10.02% 52.48% 100.00% 2 35.86% 9.33% 54.81% 100.00% 1 34.92% 8.64% 56.45% 100.00% 0 34.31% 8.30% 57.39% 100.00%