World Gaming Magazine

37 WGM #57 2018/04 wgm8.com form? History suggests the answer is no. A statistical look at the performance of Premier League teams in post- European games revealed that, over the past decade, 60 per cent of them achieved better or similar results after a European fixture. Manchester City also have the added incentive of chasing the 100-point barrier in the League, so don’t expect any drop-off. The real value at this point of the season is the battle at the other end of the table. It’s unlikely that West Bromwich Albion will avoid the drop but as many as eight teams will battle to stay out of the two remaining relegation spots. The traditional benchmark of 40 points equating to EPL survival looks likely to hold sway so those teams at least have a target at which to aim, right? It might feel that way, making the “need to win” argument one of the most prominent myths among bettors. The theory behind this widely held belief is based on two presumptions. The first is that the team that needs a win will be trying harder. This, however, assumes that they haven’t already been trying hard. The second is that pressure will produce better results, but that same pressure also hinders players from performing at their optimum. Statistics confirm that these top-flight strugglers actually perform worse in late-April and May than at any other time of the season. Bookmakers are well-aware of this fact and use the opportunity to price up teams that need to secure a win much shorter than they would normally during the season in anticipation of those punters who adhere to the myth of pressure equalling points. *As with all forms of sports betting, ensure you have appropriate bankroll strategies in place, always chase the best possible price and understand the concept of value when making football wagers. 支球队在苦苦挣扎，避免降级厄运。积分达到40即可保证 不降级是老生常谈，但在这些球队身上是否正确？ 不少投注者认为，背水一战的球队定能踢出超水准。 这种说法的背后，其实隐藏着两个假设。其一，背水一战 的球队会更加努力，仿佛他们之前就没有努力过。 其二，压力会转化为动力，但压力常常导致球员无法 发挥正常水准。 统计数据已经证实，在英超排行榜末端苦苦挣扎的球 队，在4月底至5月的表现往往是整个赛季中最差的。博彩 公司深明此道理，进而调高这些球队的赔率，引诱那些相 信「背水一战」神话的投注者掉入陷阱。 * 一如其他任何体育博彩，玩家应在足球博彩中制定 合适的资金策略，时刻在投注时寻求最有利的赔率，并了 解赔率的价值。 热刺前锋哈里·凯恩 Tottenham striker Harry Kane