World Gaming Magazine

38 WGM #58 2018/05 wgm8.com 体育 SPORT 三大投注策略中的最后一个元素,主要针对在季后赛 出现的几种有利情况与组合,如投注额不足40%的大热门 及大冷门等。在过去十年间,受让4.5分或以上但投注额不 足40%的球队,其赢盘比率高达68.8%。 然而,这种机会极为罕见,只占季后赛的5%(在近 9,000场比赛中,仅有400多个同类例子)。机会难逢,必 须重锤出击! 一如其他任何体育博彩,玩家应在NBA博彩中制定合 适的资金策略,时刻在投注时寻求最有利的赔率,并了解 赔率的价值 。 across a seven-game playoff series, teams will lift their performance to make up the deficit. This is generally not a profitable play. NBA playoff teams coming off a straight-up loss cover at a rate of 52 percent while teams that failed to cover the line in their previous post-season start go 51.8 percent next time out. But extrapolate that number to favorites of four or more points in their previous outing and the record improves to a profitable 58.7 percent (it’s even higher if that team was a road favorite). These results are hardly surprising given the public’s tendency to overreact to the most recent game. The final element in this trio of playoff strategies relates to a combination of profitable post-season situations – significant favorites on which less than 40 percent of bets have been placed, and large underdogs. Teams favored by at least 4.5-points that have received less than 40 percent of the betting action have gone 68.8 percent ATS over a time-span of more than a decade. Note that this angle is quite rare, appearing in just five percent of playoff scenarios (400 examples in a sample of almost 9,000 games). So when you see it, pound it! As with all forms of sports betting, ensure you have appropriate bankroll strategies in place, always chase the best possible price and understand the concept of value when making NBA wagers.

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