World Gaming Magazine

38 WGM #61 2018/08 wgm8.com 体育 SPORT 国 家美式足球联盟的受欢迎程度与投注额，均远高 于美国职业棒球大联盟及美国职业篮球联赛，可 谓体育博彩领域中的「教父」。据估计，国家美 式足球联盟与大学美式足球联赛的赛事总投注额，每年高 达1,000亿美元。要知道，美国每年通过赌场合法渠道投注 的资金总额，仅相等于上述1,000亿美元中的2%，即美式 足球投注额之巨，实在令人乍舌！ 正如在电影或现实生活中与「教父」打交道一样，玩 家投注美式足球时可得步步为营。上述数以亿计的投注额 中，不乏极其有经验的专业玩家。纵观过去十四个赛季的 常规赛和季后赛，冷门球队的赢盘比例为50.3%（1,561场 对1,541场）。换言之，庄家自2004年以来在设定赔率方 面的表现，堪称十分出色。 首先，让我们重温国家美式足球联盟的基础知识。国 家美式足球联盟分为两个联会（美国职业美式橄榄球協会 及国家橄榄球联盟）和四个赛区（北部赛区、南部赛区、 东部赛区及西部赛区）。每一支球队在常规赛中作赛十六 场，两个联会中排名首六位的球队得以进入季后赛。两个 联会中冠军，将争夺被称为超级碗的总决赛冠军宝座。 值得注意的是，在同一赛区中，每一支球队将主客场 对垒两次，即十六场常规赛中的六场。每一支球队亦将对 阵同一联会但不同赛区的球队，主客场各出战两次。从分 析让分方面出发，这些较为频繁的赛事将为投注者提供比 较一致的数据流。 篮球、棒球和曲棍球等体育项目的得分以一分或两分 为基础，且最终比分差距覆盖任何数字。国家美式足球联 盟则不然，最有可能的最终比分差距为三分（在热门球队 得胜的比赛中，近10% 的比分差距仅为一球射门进球）。 W hen it comes to sports betting, the National Football League (NFL) is “The Godfather” – a colossus soaring far above its sibling rivals the MLB and NBA. It’s estimated that, combined with College Football, around US$100 billion is bet on football games each year. That’s not bad for a country where legal betting channels through casinos account for barely two percent of that figure! But like any encounter with “The Godfather”, wagering on the NFL should be treated with caution. Those billions mean you’re betting into a very sophisticated and knowledgeable market. Over the past 14 seasons, NFL underdogs have gone 1561-1541 Against the Spread (ATS) at 50.3% in regular season and playoff games. That shows the oddsmakers have done an exceptional job of setting lines since 2004. Here are a few basics for those unfamiliar with the NFL: There are 32 teams spread across two conferences (National and American) and four divisions (North, South, East and West). Each team plays 16 regular season games with six from each conference progressing to the playoffs. The grand final, or Super Bowl, features the champion from each conference. It’s important to note that that divisional teams play each other (home and away) each season, accounting for six of those 16 games. Teams also face opponents from those in another division within their conference (two at home and two on the road). From a handicapping perspective,