World Gaming Magazine

40 WGM #61 2018/08 wgm8.com 五分，逾80% 的投注额及中在洛杉矶公羊上，但庄家已悄 悄地将让分降低为四分。 这确凿地证明专家的资金流已移至西雅图海鹰，并压 倒了针对洛杉矶公羊的公众投注，因为庄家已调整让分 比例以平衡风险。这种投注方式适用于所有体育项目，但 总汇愈大，玩家愈是能肯定资金流的去向——资金流的趋 向，正是应该投注的方向。 正如阿尔•帕西诺在《教父》中出常说：「小伙子，这 不是意气用事，这纯粹是生意而已。」 一如投注其他任何体育博彩，玩家应针对国家美式足球 联盟博彩制定合适的资金策略，时刻在投注时寻求最有利的 赔率，并了解赔率的价值。 data is based on the money flowing through the sportsbooks situated in the numerous Las Vegas casinos. Historically, we know that betting against public money alone is a profitable play representing a win rate just shy of 58 percent and rising to almost 60 percent when focusing just on home teams. These same sharp punters are also looking for the crucial line movement either side of those key NFL numbers – 3 and 7. Being able to bet +3.5 when other spots have only +3 or lay -6.5 when other sportsbooks have -7, will substantially increase your long-term win percentage. In games where one team receives 20 percent or less of spread bets, the underdog closes with a better line 55.4 percent of the time – enough to tip the line that crucial 0.5 points. In addition to simply opposing the public money, it’s possible to follow where the sharps are taking the lead in market movements. Let’s say the LA Rams are at home to the Seattle Seahawks, and the oddsmakers have made them a five-point favorite. Around 80 percent of all the straight action is on the Rams yet the sportsbooks have lowered the number to -4. This is sure evidence that the smart money is flowing in on the Seahawks, overwhelming all of the public money with the Rams as they lower their line on the favorite in an attempt to balance the books. This approach works in all sports but the bigger the pools, the more certain you can be that the smart money is flowing one way or another – and that’s the side to ride. AsAl Pacino’s TheGodfather characterMichael Corloene would say, “Itʼs not personal Sonny, itʼs strictly business.” • As with all forms of sports betting, ensure you have appropriate bankroll strategies in place, always chase the best possible price and understand the concept of value when making NFL wagers. 体育 SPORT