World Gaming Magazine

42 WGM #63 2018/10 wgm8.com 体育 SPORT 其费城76人或波士顿凯尔特人，在7局4胜制的总决赛中击 败实力强横的金州勇士，无疑是一厢情愿。 君临天下的金州勇士，在过去4个赛季中赢得了3次总 冠军，亦曾在两年前在最后一场比赛击败克利夫兰骑士。 然而，在长达82 场比赛的常规赛中，金州勇士看来已失去 了些许锐气。金州勇士在2015-16赛季创出73胜9负的骄人 成绩，接着在2016-17赛季交出67胜15负，但去季已回落 至58胜24负。这现象告诉我们，即使最好的球队也会输掉 多达30% 的常规赛。比赛赛果与投注输赢往往是两码事； 在投注方面，金州勇士可谓票房毒药。其在上季录得45- 57-1的投注记录，在30支球队的投注输赢排行榜上名列第 26位。 相比之下，投注输赢排行榜上名列第一的波士顿凯 尔特人，在上季录得62-37-2的投注记录，赢盘比例高达 62.6%。那投注者的克星是哪一支球队呢？答案正是勒布 朗•詹姆斯的老东家克利夫兰骑士，其季录得40-63-1的投 注记录，赢盘比例仅为38.8%，足以令不少人倾家荡产。 克利夫兰骑士被视为大热门时，赢盘比例进一步下跌至 31.1%；为视为客场大热门时，赢盘比例更跌至27.7%。是 的，人们总是崇拜英雄，哪怕这位英雄让人投注桌上接连 失利。 要在投注桌上获利，我们建议投注者应时刻注意投注 输赢数据，而不只是NBA球队的实质队赛成绩。不少出色 的网站有提供这方面的服务，比如我们大力推荐的www. teamrankings.com， 其提供与投注有关的各项数据。 对于入门级投注者而言，在漫长的NBA常规赛中关注 球队的起伏，亦绝非难事。NBA比赛由于速度快、强度 高且场次极多，故经常出现伤病停赛及球员轮换情况。由 于球队不时在大战前夕改变首发阵容并让主力球员休息， 密切关注球队新闻及伤病停赛消息，是NBA投注的取胜法 宝。另一方面，投注者亦应注意以相同阵容取得连胜的球 队。在自负的NBA世界中，默契和凝聚力可是重要优势。 最后，投注者应注意球队的赛程难度。每一支球队的 The presence of James tips the scales of the dominant Western Conference even further. Four of the past five titles have been lifted by teams from the West with only the James-led Cavaliers upsetting that run in 2016. He also helped the Miami Heat to championships in 2012 and 2013 but it’s been a decade (2008) since a team from the Eastern Conference in which LeBron didn’t feature went all the way. And it’s highly unlikely that the East is going to upset the order this season. The decade-long “Process” to rebuild the Philadelphia 76ers is finally paying dividends but it’s hard to envisage either they, or the Celtics, defeating the all-conquering Warriors over a seven-game finals series. Golden State have cast a significant shadow over the NBA in the past four years, winning three titles while pushing the Cavs to a decider two years ago. But across the long 82-game NBA regular season, Golden State have gradually been drifting back to the field. After a record- setting 73-9 run in 2015-16, they went 67-15 in 2016-17 and 58-24 last season. That tells us that even the very best teams can comfortably lose 30 percent of their regular season games. But betting stats don’t always correlate with actual records – the Warriors were poison for punters. Their 45-57-1 record against the spread ranked 26th of 30 last season. In contrast, Boston covered the line in 62.6 percent of their starts last season for a league-best record of 62-37- 2. And the worst team for punters? James’ own Cleveland Cavaliers, who went 40-63-1 for a bankroll-busting 38.8 percent. That record slumped to just 31.1 percent when the Cavs started as favorites and 27.7 percent as road favorites. Yep, the public love a champion, even if he’s costing them at the betting window.